Proof by inference

Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 22.03.2006 STAKIĆ Milomir
(IT-97-24-A)

At paras 219-220 of the Judgement, the Appeals Chamber recalled that when reviewing a Trial Chamber’s finding of fact based on inference, the standard is the same at that applied for direct evidence: the question before the Appeals Chamber is whether no reasonable trier of fact could have excluded or ignored other inferences that lead to the conclusion that an element of the crime was not proven.[1]

219. A Trial Chamber may only find an accused guilty of a crime if the Prosecution has proved each element of that crime (as defined with respect to the relevant mode of liability) beyond a reasonable doubt.[2] This standard applies whether the evidence evaluated is direct or circumstantial.[3] Where the challenge on appeal is to an inference drawn to establish a fact on which the conviction relies, the standard is only satisfied if the inference drawn was the only reasonable one that could be drawn from the evidence presented.[4] In such instances, the question for the Appeals Chamber is whether it was reasonable for the Trial Chamber to exclude or ignore other inferences that lead to the conclusion that an element of the crime was not proven.[5] If no reasonable Trial Chamber could have ignored an inference which favours the accused, the Appeals Chamber will vacate the Trial Chamber’s factual inference and reverse any conviction that is dependent on it.[6]

See also Ntagerura Appeal Judgement, paras 304-306.

[1] Čelebići Appeal Judgement, para. 458.

[2] Vasiljević Appeal Judgement, para. 120; Ntakirutimana Appeal Judgement, para. 171; Semanza Trial Judgement, para. 148; Musema Trial Judgement, para. 108; Čelebići Trial Judgement, para. 601.

[3] Kupreskić Appeal Judgement, para. 303; Kordić Appeal Judgement, para. 834.

[4] Čelebići Appeal Judgement, para. 458; Krnojelac Trial Judgement, para. 67. With respect to a Trial Chamber’s findings of fact on which the conviction does not rely, the Appeals Chamber will defer to the findings of the Trial Judgement where such findings are reasonable.

[5] Čelebići Appeal Judgement, para. 458; Kvočka Appeal Judgement, para. 18.

[6] The Accused must present clearly and in detail any such alternative inference he wishes the Appeals Chamber to consider. See Vasiljević Appeal Judgement, para. 12. See also Blaškić Appeal Judgement, para. 13; Kunarac Appeal Judgement, paras 43, 48; Niyitegeka Appeal Judgement, para. 10

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 01.04.2011 RENZAHO Tharcisse
(ICTR-97-31-A)

318. Renzaho does not specify whether he contends that, by law, no conviction could be entered against him for ordering the killing of Tutsis unless based on direct evidence or whether he challenges the Trial Chamber’s findings themselves. To the extent that Renzaho challenges the Trial Chamber’s reliance on circumstantial evidence for a conviction, the Appeals Chamber recalls that ordering, as a mode of responsibility, can be inferred from circumstantial evidence, so long as it is the only reasonable inference.[1] The Trial Chamber was fully aware of this standard.[2]

319. The Appeals Chamber considers, however, that in finding that Renzaho gave a distinct order to kill Tutsis at roadblocks, the Trial Chamber failed to explain how this was the only reasonable inference that could be drawn from the evidence. The Trial Chamber enumerated the factors that it took into account: Renzaho’s “authority, his actions in support of roadblocks, their role in the ‘defence’ of the city, their widespread and continuous operation, as well as his order to distribute weapons”.[3] However, no explanation is provided to show how the combination of these factors necessarily leads to the conclusion that Renzaho ordered killings. Even if all of these factors consistently show that Renzaho’s actions were aimed at the killing of Tutsis at roadblocks or that he was aware of the risk that Tutsis would be killed at roadblocks, there is an insufficient basis to make the factual finding that Renzaho “ordered” such killings. Judge Güney and Judge Pocar dissent on this point.

[1] See D. Milošević Appeal Judgement, para. 265 (“the actus reus and the mens rea of ordering can be established through inferences from circumstantial evidence, provided that those inferences are the only reasonable ones”). See also Kamuhanda Appeal Judgement, para. 76; Galić Appeal Judgement, para. 178.

[2] See Trial Judgement, para. 764, fn. 855, referring to Galić Appeal Judgement, paras. 177, 178, 389.

[3] Trial Judgement, para. 764.

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 25.02.2004 VASILJEVIĆ Mitar
(IT-98-32-A)

120. The Appeals Chamber further recalls that the standard of proof to be applied is beyond a reasonable doubt, and the burden lies on the Prosecution as the accused enjoys the benefit of the presumption of innocence. The Appeals Chamber agrees with the test adopted by the Trial Chamber according to which, when the Prosecution relies upon proof of the state of mind of an accused by inference, that inference must be the only reasonable inference available on the evidence.[1]

[1] Judgement [Prosecutor v. Mitar Vasiljević, Case No. IT-98-32-T, Judgement, 29 November 2002], para. 68.

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 19.05.2010 BOŠKOSKI & TARČULOVSKI
(IT-04-82-A)

99. The Trial Chamber found that there was no direct evidence of the circumstances in which Muharem Ramadani was killed.[1] Its conviction was based on circumstantial evidence. In light of the circumstances established on the evidence, the Trial Chamber found that the only reasonable conclusion was that the police, directed by Tarčulovski, killed Muharem Ramadani.[2] […]. Tarčulovski fails to demonstrate any error in the findings of the Trial Chamber.[3] […]

[1] Trial Judgement, para. 324.

[2] See Hadžihasanović and Kubura Appeal Judgement, para. 286; Galić Appeal Judgement, para. 218; Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 219; Kupreškić et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 303; Čelebići Appeal Judgement, para. 458.

[3] Trial Judgement, para. 325.

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 20.02.2001 DELALIĆ et al. (Čelebići)
(IT-96-21-A)

458. A circumstantial case consists of evidence of a number of different circumstances which, taken in combination, point to the guilt of the accused person because they would usually exist in combination only because the accused did what is alleged against him […].  Such a conclusion must be established beyond reasonable doubt.  It is not sufficient that it is a reasonable conclusion available from that evidence.  It must be the only reasonable conclusion available.  If there is another conclusion which is also reasonably open from that evidence, and which is consistent with the innocence of the accused, he must be acquitted.

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 04.12.2012 LUKIĆ & LUKIĆ
(IT-98-32/1-A)

149. The Appeals Chamber recalls that there is no requirement that the body of a victim be recovered in order to prove death beyond a reasonable doubt, and that a victim’s death can be inferred circumstantially from all the evidence presented to the Trial Chamber.[1] Consequently, the evidence of an eye-witness can be the sole basis for a finding that a person is dead. The Appeals Chamber also recalls that, in order to successfully challenge the trial chamber’s assessment of circumstantial evidence on appeal, an appellant must show that no reasonable trier of fact could have found that the conclusion reached by the trial chamber was the only reasonable inference.[2].

208. At the outset, the Appeals Chamber recalls that proof beyond reasonable doubt that a person was killed does not necessarily require proof that the dead body of that person has been recovered. Rather, a victim’s death may be inferred circumstantially from all the evidence presented to the Trial Chamber.[3] […]

316. As the Appeals Chamber noted above, proof beyond a reasonable doubt that a person is dead does not necessarily require that the body of that person was recovered.[4] A victim’s death can be inferred circumstantially from all of the evidence presented to a trial chamber.[5] […]

[1] Kvočka et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 260.

[2] See supra [Appeal Judgement,] para. 13.

[3] See supra [Appeal Judgement,] para. 149.

[4] See supra [Appeal Judgement,] para. 149.

[5] See supra [Appeal Judgement,] para. 149.

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 30.11.2006 GALIĆ Stanislav
(IT-98-29-A)

The standard for appellate review as set out in the Judgement was based on the standard set out in the Stakić Appeal Judgement, with a slight amendment, in para. 9, pertaining to the reasonableness standard, which has been made clearer (emphasis added in bold):

9. When considering alleged errors of fact on appeal from the Defence, the Appeals Chamber will determine whether no reasonable trier of fact could have reached the verdict of guilt beyond reasonable doubt.[1] The Appeals Chamber applies the same reasonableness standard to alleged errors of fact regardless of whether the finding of fact was based on direct or circumstantial evidence.[2] In determining whether or not a Trial Chamber’s finding was one that no reasonable trier of fact could have reached, the Appeals Chamber “will not lightly disturb findings of fact by a Trial Chamber”.[3] The Appeals Chamber recalls, as a general principle, the approach adopted by the Appeals Chamber in Kupreškić, which stated:

Pursuant to the jurisprudence of the Tribunal, the task of hearing, assessing and weighing the evidence presented at trial is left primarily to the Trial Chamber. Thus, the Appeals Chamber must give a margin of deference to a finding of fact reached by a Trial Chamber. Only where the evidence relied on by the Trial Chamber could not have been accepted by any reasonable tribunal of fact or where the evaluation of the evidence is “wholly erroneous” may the Appeals Chamber substitute its own finding for that of the Trial Chamber.[4]

[1] Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 10; Kvočka et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 18; Kordić and Čerkez Appeal Judgement, para. 18; Blaškić Appeal Judgement, para. 16; Čelebići Appeal Judgement, para. 435; Furundžija Appeal Judgement, para. 37; Aleksovski Appeal Judgement, para. 63; Tadić Appeal Judgement, para. 64.

[2] Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 220; Čelebići Appeal Judgement, para. 458. Similarly, the type of evidence, direct or circumstantial, is irrelevant to the standard of proof at trial, where the accused may only be found guilty of a crime if the Prosecution has proved each element of that crime and the relevant mode of liability beyond a reasonable doubt. See Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 219; Čelebići Appeal Judgement, para. 458.

[3] Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 10; Furundžija Appeal Judgement, para. 37, referring to Tadić Appeal Judgement, para. 64. See also Kvočka et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 19; Krnojelac Appeal Judgement, para. 11; Aleksovski Appeal Judgement, para. 63; Musema Appeal Judgement, para. 18.

[4] Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 10; Kvočka et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 19, quoting Kupreškić et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 30. See also Kordić and Čerkez Appeal Judgement, para. 19, fn. 11; Blaškić Appeal Judgement, paras 17-18.

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 07.07.2006 NTAGERURA et al. (Cyangugu)
(ICTR-99-46-A)

At paras 304-306, the Appeals Chamber recalled the law applicable to circumstantial evidence, as enounced in the Čelebići Appeal Judgement and recently confirmed in Stakić:

304.    In the Čelebići Appeal Judgement, the ICTY Appeals Chamber set out the standard of proof applicable to circumstantial evidence as follows:

A circumstantial case consists of evidence of a number of different circumstances which, taken in combination, point to the guilt of the accused person because they would usually exist in combination only because the accused did what is alleged against him – here that he participated in the second beating of Gotovac. Such a conclusion must be established beyond reasonable doubt. It is not sufficient that it is a reasonable conclusion available from that evidence. It must be the only reasonable conclusion available. If there is another conclusion which is also reasonably open from that evidence, and which is consistent with the innocence of the accused, he must be acquitted.

The same standard was applied in theVasiljević, Krstić and Kvočka et al. Appeal Judgements in relation to the establishment of the state of mind of the accused by inference and, more recently, in the Stakić Appeal Judgement.

305.    As the ICTY Appeals Chamber made clear in the Kordić and Čerkez Appeal Judgement, the Čelebići standard on circumstantial evidence has to be distinguished from the standard of appellate review. The Appeals Chamber notes that the Tribunal’s law on appellate proceedings, namely wheter “no reasonable trier of fact could have reached the conclusion of guilt beyond reasonable doubt”, permits a conclusion to be upheld on appeal even where other inferences sustaining guilt could reasonably have been drawn at trial”.[5]

306.    It is settled jurisprudence that the conclusion of guilt can be inferred from circumstantial evidence only if it is the only reasonable conclusion available on the evidence. Whether a Trial Chamber infers the existence of a particular fact upon which the guilt of the accused depends from direct or circumstantial evidence, it must reach such a conclusion beyond reasonable doubt. If there is another conclusion which is also reasonably open from that evidence, and which is consistent with the non-existence of that fact, the conclusion of guilt beyond reasonable doubt cannot be drawn.

[1] Čelebići Appeal Judgement, para. 458.

[2] Vasiljević Appeal Judgement, para. 120; Krstić Appeal Judgement, para. 41; Kvočka et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 237.

[3] Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 219.

[4] Kordić and Čerkez Appeal Judgement, paras. 289-290.

[5] Ibid., para. 288.

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 08.06.2021 MLADIĆ Ratko
(MICT-13-56-A)

272. […] The Appeals Chamber recalls that the standard of proof beyond reasonable doubt requires a finder of fact to be satisfied that there is no reasonable explanation of the evidence other than the guilt of the accused.[1] It is further recalled that a trial chamber does not have to discuss every possible hypothesis or inference it may have considered, as long as it is satisfied that the inference it retained was the only reasonable one.[2]

[1] See Mrkšić and Šljivančanin Appeal Judgement, para. 220.

[2] See Prlić et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 967. See also Karadžić Appeal Judgement, para. 599; Mrkšić and Šljivančanin Appeal Judgement, para. 220.

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 19.03.2019 KARADŽIĆ Radovan
(MICT-13-55-A)

584. The Appeals Chamber recalls that the mens rea required for liability under the first category of joint criminal enterprise is that the accused shares the intent with the other participants to carry out the crimes forming part of the common purpose.[1] […]

585. […] [T]he Appeals Chamber recalls that, while it was necessary for the Trial Chamber to find that Karadžić shared the intent to forcibly displace the population, the Trial Chamber was not required to establish that he intended the specific acts of coercion causing the forcible removal of Bosnian Muslims.[2] […]

[…]

672. The Appeals Chamber recalls that, while an accused’s knowledge of particular crimes combined with continued participation in the execution of the common plan from which those crimes result may be a basis to infer that he or she shared the requisite intent for the crimes in question, this does not necessarily compel such a conclusion.[3] Whether intent can be inferred depends on all the circumstances of the case.[4] Further, where intent is inferred from circumstantial evidence, it must be the only reasonable inference available on the evidence.[5]

[…]

688. […] The Appeals Chamber […] recalls that, although knowledge of crimes in combination with failure to intervene to prevent them may be a basis for inferring intent, it does not compel such a conclusion.[6]

[1] See Prlić et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 1755; Stanišić and Župljanin Appeal Judgement, para. 915; Popović et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 1369; Đorđević Appeal Judgement, para. 468; Munyakazi Appeal Judgement, para. 160; Brđanin Appeal Judgement, para. 365.

[2] Cf. Stanišić and Župljanin Appeal Judgement, para. 917.

[3] See, e.g., Popović et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 1369; Karemera and Ngirumpatse Appeal Judgement, para. 632; Krajišnik Appeal Judgement, para. 202; Blagojević and Jokić Appeal Judgement, paras. 272, 273. See also Stanišić and Simatović Appeal Judgement, para. 81; Đorđević Appeal Judgement, para. 512; Krajišnik Appeal Judgement, para. 697; Kvočka et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 243. 

[4] See, e.g., Kvočka et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 243. See also Popović et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 1369; Krajišnik Appeal Judgement, paras. 202, 697; Blagojević and Jokić Appeal Judgement, paras. 272, 273.

[5] See, e.g., Šainović et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 995; Rukundo Appeal Judgement, para. 235; Kvočka et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 237; Vasiljević Appeal Judgement, para. 120.

[6] Popović et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 1385; Blagojević and Jokić Appeal Judgement, paras. 272, 273.

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 19.03.2019 KARADŽIĆ Radovan
(MICT-13-55-A)

599.     […] The Appeals Chamber recalls that where a fact on which a conviction relies is established on the basis of an inference, that inference must be the only reasonable one available on the evidence.[1]

[…]

669.     The Trial Chamber observed that, when the Prosecution relied upon proof of a certain fact, such as the state of mind of the accused by inference, it considered whether that inference was the only reasonable inference that could have been made based on the evidence and that, where that inference was not the only reasonable one, it found that the Prosecution had not proved its case.[2] The Appeals Chamber finds that the Trial Chamber correctly set out the applicable law.[3]

[1] Prlić et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 1709; Nyiramasuhuko et al. Appeal Judgement, paras. 650, 1509; Mugenzi and Mugiraneza Appeal Judgement, para. 136; Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 219. See also Muhimana Appeal Judgement, para. 49.

[2] Trial Judgement, para. 10, referring to Vasiljević Appeal Judgement, para. 120.

[3] See also Šainović et al. Appeal Judgement, para. 995; Rukundo Appeal Judgement, para. 235.

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Notion(s) Filing Case
Appeal Judgement - 19.03.2019 KARADŽIĆ Radovan
(MICT-13-55-A)

727. […] The Appeals Chamber recalls that the intent to destroy a group as such is circumscribed by the “area of the perpetrators’ activity and control” and the “extent of [the perpetrators’] reach”.[1] Absent direct evidence of genocidal intent, the “scale of the atrocities committed” is one of several factors relevant to determining genocidal intent[2] and the fact that more members of a targeted group could have been, for example, killed, but were not, may indicate a lack of the dolus specialis required to prove such intent.[3] 

728. […] The Trial Chamber recalled that conduct not constituting acts of genocide may be considered when assessing genocidal intent.[4] Furthermore, when assessing the mens rea for genocide, the Trial Chamber extensively detailed criminal conduct committed against Bosnian Muslims and Bosnian Croats that resulted in both immediate physical destruction as well as the remaining conduct which the Prosecution argues would have impacted the long-term survival of the targeted groups.[5] The Appeals Chamber finds that the Trial Chamber acted within the bounds of the law and its discretion when contrasting the number of Bosnian Muslims and Bosnian Croats displaced versus those who were victims of conduct falling within Article 4(2) of the ICTY Statute in assessing whether genocidal intent had been established.[6]

See also para. 729.

[…]

745. […] Evidence demonstrating ethnic bias, however reprehensible, does not necessarily prove genocidal intent.[7] Utterances that fall short of expressly calling for a group’s physical destruction might constitute evidence of genocidal intent but a perpetrator’s statements must be understood and assessed in their proper context.[8] […]

[1] See Krstić Appeal Judgement, para. 13.

[2] See Tolimir Appeal Judgement, para. 246; Prosecutor v. Radovan Karadžić, Case No. IT-95-5/18-AR98bis.1, Judgement, 11 July 2013, para. 80.

[3] See Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 42.

[4] See Trial Judgement, para. 553 (“The Genocide Convention and customary international law prohibit only the physical and biological destruction of a group, not attacks on cultural or religious property or symbols of the group. However, while such attacks may not constitute underlying acts of genocide, they may be considered evidence of intent to physically destroy the group. Forcible transfer alone would not suffice to demonstrate the intent to ‘destroy’ a group but it is a relevant consideration as part of the Chamber’s overall factual assessment.”) (internal references omitted).

[5] See Trial Judgement, paras. 2614-2622. The Appeals Chamber finds unpersuasive the Prosecution’s arguments that the Trial Chamber failed to sufficiently account for findings made previously in the Trial Judgement.

[6] Cf. Stakić Appeal Judgement, paras. 41, 42.

[7] See Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 52.

[8] Stakić Appeal Judgement, para. 52.

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